The Coffee That's Costing You Millions (Or Is It?)

Dennis VymerDecember 31, 20259 min read

You've heard it a thousand times.

"Stop buying lattes and you'll be a millionaire!"

This advice has been floating around the internet for decades. And every time someone brings it up, a war breaks out. Some swear it changed their life. Others call it the dumbest financial advice ever given.

Who's right? Let's do the math — but this time, let's do it properly, with real American prices and without the BS.


The Great Coffee Experiment

Imagine four friends from college. They all have similar incomes, similar expenses, similar costs of living. The only difference? Their approach to coffee and investing.

Anna — Loves her coffee shop ritual. Every morning, she grabs a $6 latte on her way to work. But she also invests $500 a month into a world ETF. Her philosophy: "Life's too short. I deserve my latte."

Brian — Thinks coffee shops are a waste of money. He drinks free coffee at the office and instant at home. He invests $500 a month — plus that $6 a day he saves on coffee goes straight to his investment account. That's $680 a month total. His take: "Why pay for something I can get free at work? I'd rather invest it."

Chelsea — Loves her morning café ritual. $6 every day. But investing? She'll "get to it eventually." It's been five years. Her excuse: "When I make more money, I'll start saving."

David — Also loves great coffee. But he bought a quality espresso machine for home. He makes his own latte for about $1 and sends that remaining $5 to his investment account every day. His philosophy: "Best of both worlds."

Let's see where they'll be in 10, 20, and 30 years.

What does that coffee actually cost? — Let's get clear on the numbers.

ItemDailyMonthlyYearly
Coffee shop latte$6$180$2,190
Home espresso (quality)$1$30$365
Difference$5$150$1,825

That's not nothing. But it's not millions either... Or is it?


Monday Morning, 7:45 AM

Four college friends meet at a coffee shop. Like every Monday.

Anna orders her usual oat milk latte. $6. "I literally cannot function without this."

Brian frowns over his thermos of instant coffee from home. "I don't get how you can spend money on something you could make yourself for pennies." He pulls out his phone. "Look, I just transferred that $6 to my brokerage account. Like I do every single day now."

Chelsea is already finishing her cappuccino. "Brian, live a little. Money's meant to be spent."

David is photographing his cup. "Check this out — made this espresso at home this morning. Cost me a buck. And the $5 I saved? Also going to investments."

Anna shrugs. Chelsea rolls her eyes. And so it goes... every day, every week, every year.


Ground Rules for This Comparison

To keep things clear, we're using an 8% average market return (everyone invests in a diversified world ETF), which means we don't need to adjust for the average 2-3% inflation — let's keep everything in today's dollars. We're also assuming zero broker fees, which is realistic with modern commission-free brokers and low-cost index funds.


10 Years Later

They meet up again. This time with very different numbers in their accounts.

Anna still buys her daily latte. But she's also been investing $500 a month for 10 years straight. Her portfolio? $91,000.

Brian drank that terrible instant coffee for 10 years. But he also invested an extra $6 a day on top of his base investment. His portfolio? $124,000.

"Wait," Anna says, staring at the numbers. "You have $33,000 more than me?! Just because of coffee?"

Brian shrugs. "Yeah. But also..."

David has been making his own coffee and investing the difference — $150 a month. His portfolio: $27,000. And his coffee is still excellent.

Chelsea still goes to the café. Every day. But investing? "I'll definitely start next year, I promise." Her portfolio: $0. She's spent $22,000 on coffee.

"David, that's cool, but $27,000... that's not exactly life-changing," Chelsea says.

"Wait another 20 years," David smiles.

Everyone laughs. Chelsea too. But a little nervously.


20 Years Later

Kids, mortgages, careers. Life has changed. But habits haven't.

WhoMonthly InvestmentPortfolioSpent on Coffee
Brian$680$401,000$0
Anna$500$295,000$44,000
David$150$88,000$7,300
Chelsea$0$0$44,000

Anna looks at the numbers and starts thinking. "Brian, you have over $100,000 more than me..." "Was it worth it?"

"...I don't know."

Chelsea is getting nervous. "Okay, I'm seriously going to start investing. For real. Soon."

David says nothing. Just smiles at his $88,000.


30 Years Later: The Big Reveal

Retirement age is approaching. Time for the final count.

Comparison of all four scenarios 30 years, 4 approaches, dramatically different results

Brian: 30 years of instant coffee. 30 years of investing every saved dollar. Portfolio: $1,013,000.

  • "A million bucks. For the price of good coffee."

Anna: 30 years of enjoying her morning latte. Spent $66,000 on it. But she also invested consistently. Portfolio: $745,000.

  • "Three quarters of a million and 30 years of great mornings. No regrets."

David: 30 years of making excellent coffee at home. That $5 a day went to investments. Portfolio: $224,000.

  • "Nearly a quarter million. And my coffee's still great. Best investment? The $800 espresso machine."

Chelsea: 30 years of café life. Investing never "happened." Portfolio: $0. Spent on coffee: $66,000.

  • When they show her that if she'd invested that same money, she'd have $268,000... she goes quiet for a moment.

Final Score

Where everyone ends up after 30 years

WhoApproachPortfolioSpent on CoffeeVerdict
BrianNo coffee shop, invests everything$1,013,000$0🥇 Winner on paper
AnnaCoffee + investing$745,000$66,000🏆 Lived fully
DavidHome coffee + investing$224,000$11,000🧠 Smart compromise
ChelseaCoffee + nothing$0$66,000💸 Missed opportunity

What Does This Story Actually Tell Us? Is the Coffee Myth True?

Yes and no. But more importantly — it's not about the coffee.

Coffee is just an example. A symbol. This story isn't about whether you should or shouldn't buy a latte.

It's about something much more important...


Small Things, Big Differences

$5 a day sounds like nothing. You barely notice it.

But over 30 years at 8% returns, it's nearly a quarter million dollars.

The power of $5 a day Of the $54,750 David contributed, over $169,000 is pure investment returns. That's the magic of compound interest.

And here's the important question: What's your $5 a day?

Everyone has something. Some small, recurring expense that could be done smarter — without having to live like a monk. It could be:

  • Bringing lunch twice a week instead of buying, one fewer drink at happy hour, a water filter instead of bottled water, ..., really anything small and invisible

It's not about giving up everything. It's not about living like an ascetic.

It's about consciously choosing one small thing and sending that difference to your future self.


Why This Works

1. It's So Small It Doesn't Hurt

The difference between a coffee shop latte and a homemade espresso? Almost nothing. Both are good coffee. Both are a pleasant morning ritual.

But one costs $6, the other costs $1.

This isn't a sacrifice...

2. Automation Works Magic

Set up an automatic transfer. Every day, every week, every month — doesn't matter how often. Just make it automatic.

When you don't have to think about it, you can't "just skip it this month."

3. Time Is Your Greatest Ally

David after 10 years has nothing impressive — $27,000.

After 20 years, he's approaching $90,000.

After 30 years, nearly a quarter million.

The first few years are boring. Then it gets interesting.


My Challenge for You: Find Your "Coffee"

Step 1: Track Everything for One Week

Every expense. Even the $3 ones. You'll be surprised where your money goes.

Step 2: Find One Thing

Not five. Not ten. One.

Something you do regularly, that could be done cheaper, and that you won't miss.

Maybe it's coffee. Maybe it's lunch. Maybe it's Ubers. Maybe it's a subscription you don't use.

Step 3: Calculate the Difference

How much do you save daily? Weekly? Monthly?

Step 4: Set Up an Automatic Transfer

Send that difference to an investment account. Automatically. Today.

Step 5: Forget About It

Keep living. Keep enjoying life. In 10 years, check your account and be pleasantly surprised.


Conclusion

This article isn't about coffee.

It's about how small, conscious changes in habits can mean a real difference in life over 30 years.

Not because that one coffee is so expensive. But because compound interest needs two things: consistency and time.

Brian has a million dollars because he invested an extra $6 a day for 30 years.

David has nearly a quarter million because he invested $5 a day for 30 years.

Chelsea has nothing because "next year" never came.


So what's your "coffee"?

Find it. One small habit. One smart substitution. And then forget about it.

In 30 years, you'll thank me.


P.S. My morning espresso from my home machine costs me about a dollar. Just saying.

Got questions? Email me at vymerd@gmail.com.

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